Stock Analysis

RattanIndia Power Limited (NSE:RTNPOWER) Soars 25% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

NSEI:RTNPOWER
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RattanIndia Power Limited (NSE:RTNPOWER) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 256% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, RattanIndia Power's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Renewable Energy industry in India, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.1x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for RattanIndia Power

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:RTNPOWER Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 10th 2024

What Does RattanIndia Power's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

RattanIndia Power has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance might fall short of industry figures in the near future, leading to a reduced P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on RattanIndia Power will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

RattanIndia Power's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.2% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 238% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that RattanIndia Power's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in RattanIndia Power have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We're very surprised to see RattanIndia Power currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for RattanIndia Power you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether RattanIndia Power is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.