Stock Analysis

The total return for NHPC (NSE:NHPC) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last three years

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NSEI:NHPC
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Low-cost index funds make it easy to achieve average market returns. But if you invest in individual stocks, some are likely to underperform. For example, the NHPC Limited (NSE:NHPC) share price return of 52% over three years lags the market return in the same period. Having said that, the 34% increase over the past year is good to see.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 5.5%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

Before we look at the performance, you might like to know that our analysis indicates that NHPC is potentially undervalued!

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During three years of share price growth, NHPC achieved compound earnings per share growth of 11% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 15% average annual increase in the share price. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:NHPC Earnings Per Share Growth September 12th 2022

This free interactive report on NHPC's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for NHPC the TSR over the last 3 years was 83%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that NHPC has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 44% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 12%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand NHPC better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for NHPC you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether NHPC is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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About NSEI:NHPC

NHPC

NHPC Limited, together with its subsidiaries, generates and sells electricity in India.

The Snowflake is a visual investment summary with the score of each axis being calculated by 6 checks in 5 areas.

Analysis AreaScore (0-6)
Valuation5
Future Growth3
Past Performance3
Financial Health3
Dividends4

Read more about these checks in the individual report sections or in our analysis model.

Undervalued average dividend payer.