Stock Analysis

India Grid Trust (NSE:INDIGRID) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At ₹3.19

NSEI:INDIGRID
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India Grid Trust (NSE:INDIGRID) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 26th of November to ₹3.19. This takes the dividend yield to 8.8%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

View our latest analysis for India Grid Trust

India Grid Trust Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before this announcement, India Grid Trust was paying out 225% of what it was earning, and not generating any free cash flows either. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.

Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 42.6% over the next year. If the dividend continues on its recent course, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 159%, which is a bit high and could start applying pressure to the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
NSEI:INDIGRID Historic Dividend October 30th 2021

India Grid Trust Is Still Building Its Track Record

The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the past, but the company has only been paying a dividend for 4 years, which isn't that long in the grand scheme of things. Since 2017, the first annual payment was ₹11.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ₹12.75. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.8% a year over that time. India Grid Trust hasn't been paying a dividend for very long, so we wouldn't get to excited about its record of growth just yet.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, initial appearances might be deceiving. India Grid Trust has seen earnings per share falling at 4.5% per year over the last five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.

We're Not Big Fans Of India Grid Trust's Dividend

In summary, investors will like to be receiving a higher dividend, but we have some questions about whether it can be sustained over the long term. The company seems to be stretching itself a bit to make such big payments, but it doesn't appear they can be consistent over time. Overall, this doesn't get us very excited from an income standpoint.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for India Grid Trust (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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