Stock Analysis

Indraprastha Gas Limited's (NSE:IGL) Share Price Boosted 27% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NSEI:IGL
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Those holding Indraprastha Gas Limited (NSE:IGL) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 3.5% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 33x, you may still consider Indraprastha Gas as a highly attractive investment with its 15.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Indraprastha Gas has been relatively sluggish. The P/E is probably low because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Indraprastha Gas

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:IGL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 25th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Indraprastha Gas.

How Is Indraprastha Gas' Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Indraprastha Gas would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 27% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 1.4% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that Indraprastha Gas is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Indraprastha Gas' P/E?

Indraprastha Gas' recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Indraprastha Gas maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Indraprastha Gas that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.