Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into GVK Power & Infrastructure Limited (NSE:GVKPIL) Stock Yet As It Plummets 27%

NSEI:GVKPIL
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The GVK Power & Infrastructure Limited (NSE:GVKPIL) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 35% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, GVK Power & Infrastructure's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Renewable Energy industry in India, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.2x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for GVK Power & Infrastructure

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GVKPIL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 24th 2024

How GVK Power & Infrastructure Has Been Performing

For example, consider that GVK Power & Infrastructure's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for GVK Power & Infrastructure, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, GVK Power & Infrastructure would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 60%. In spite of this, the company still managed to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that GVK Power & Infrastructure's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On GVK Power & Infrastructure's P/S

Having almost fallen off a cliff, GVK Power & Infrastructure's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We're very surprised to see GVK Power & Infrastructure currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for GVK Power & Infrastructure you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.