Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Orient Green Power Company Limited (NSE:GREENPOWER) Is Unlikely

NSEI:GREENPOWER
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When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Orient Green Power Company Limited (NSE:GREENPOWER) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 59.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Orient Green Power over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Orient Green Power

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GREENPOWER Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 27th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Orient Green Power, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Orient Green Power?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Orient Green Power's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Orient Green Power's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Orient Green Power's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Orient Green Power revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Orient Green Power has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Orient Green Power. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.