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Energy Development (NSE:ENERGYDEV) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Energy Development (NSE:ENERGYDEV) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Energy Development:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.022 = ₹54m ÷ (₹3.5b - ₹983m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Thus, Energy Development has an ROCE of 2.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Electric Utilities industry average of 7.7%.
See our latest analysis for Energy Development
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Energy Development's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Energy Development's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
We're a bit concerned with the trends, because the business is applying 44% less capital than it was five years ago and returns on that capital have stayed flat. To us that doesn't look like a multi-bagger because the company appears to be selling assets and it's returns aren't increasing. Not only that, but the low returns on this capital mentioned earlier would leave most investors unimpressed.
On another note, while the change in ROCE trend might not scream for attention, it's interesting that the current liabilities have actually gone up over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 28% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than2.2% because total capital employed would be higher.The 2.2% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 28% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. So while current liabilities isn't high right now, keep an eye out in case it increases further, because this can introduce some elements of risk.
In Conclusion...
It's a shame to see that Energy Development is effectively shrinking in terms of its capital base. And investors may be expecting the fundamentals to get a lot worse because the stock has crashed 85% over the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Energy Development (of which 2 are concerning!) that you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About NSEI:ENERGYDEV
Energy Development
Generates and sells electricity from water and wind to various electricity boards in India.
Slight and fair value.