Stock Analysis

Energy Development (NSE:ENERGYDEV) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:ENERGYDEV
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Energy Development Company Limited (NSE:ENERGYDEV) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Energy Development

What Is Energy Development's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Energy Development had ₹1.57b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have ₹152.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.41b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ENERGYDEV Debt to Equity History March 20th 2024

A Look At Energy Development's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Energy Development had liabilities of ₹1.66b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹919.9m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹152.9m and ₹563.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.86b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹942.9m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Energy Development would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.73 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.5 hit our confidence in Energy Development like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Energy Development saw its EBIT tank 61% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Energy Development's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Energy Development actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

To be frank both Energy Development's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Energy Development commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, it seems to us that Energy Development's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Energy Development you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Energy Development might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.