Stock Analysis

Does Energy Development (NSE:ENERGYDEV) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:ENERGYDEV
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Energy Development Company Limited (NSE:ENERGYDEV) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Energy Development

What Is Energy Development's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Energy Development had ₹1.59b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has ₹544.9m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹1.04b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ENERGYDEV Debt to Equity History March 16th 2021

How Healthy Is Energy Development's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Energy Development had liabilities of ₹982.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.62b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹544.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹465.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.59b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹475.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Energy Development would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Weak interest cover of 0.29 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.6 hit our confidence in Energy Development like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. More concerning, Energy Development saw its EBIT drop by 4.1% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Energy Development's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Energy Development actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

On the face of it, Energy Development's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Energy Development is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Energy Development has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Energy Development (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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