Stock Analysis

Is India Power (NSE:DPSCLTD) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:DPSCLTD
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies India Power Corporation Limited (NSE:DPSCLTD) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does India Power Carry?

As you can see below, India Power had ₹2.29b of debt at September 2023, down from ₹3.28b a year prior. However, it also had ₹358.2m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.93b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:DPSCLTD Debt to Equity History November 12th 2023

A Look At India Power's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that India Power had liabilities of ₹5.26b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹5.10b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹358.2m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.90b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹8.10b.

India Power has a market capitalization of ₹22.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.29 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.4 hit our confidence in India Power like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. One redeeming factor for India Power is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of ₹27m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since India Power will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, India Power actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

We weren't impressed with India Power's net debt to EBITDA, and its interest cover made us cautious. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was significantly redeeming. We would also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like India Power commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about India Power's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for India Power you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.