CESC Valuation

Is CESC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CESC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CESC (₹187.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₹459.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CESC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CESC?

Key metric: As CESC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CESC. This is calculated by dividing CESC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CESC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.6x
Earnings₹14.12b
Market Cap₹248.49b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CESC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CESC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.7x
SJVN SJVN
46.5x20.4%₹463.8b
500390 Reliance Infrastructure
3.5xn/a₹113.4b
540565 India Grid Trust
32.4xn/a₹121.4b
TORNTPOWER Torrent Power
36.5x13.4%₹818.4b
CESC CESC
17.6x13.4%₹248.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CESC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the peer average (29.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CESC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Electric Utilities Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CESC 17.6xIndustry Avg. 18.2xNo. of Companies11PE01632486480+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CESC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the Asian Electric Utilities industry average (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CESC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CESC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CESC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CESC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹187.46
₹205.90
+9.8%
13.4%₹249.00₹145.00n/a10
Dec ’25₹173.98
₹205.90
+18.3%
13.4%₹249.00₹145.00n/a10
Nov ’25₹190.69
₹205.20
+7.6%
14.2%₹244.00₹140.00n/a10
Oct ’25₹200.97
₹202.00
+0.5%
14.6%₹244.00₹140.00n/a11
Sep ’25₹194.04
₹202.00
+4.1%
14.6%₹244.00₹140.00n/a11
Aug ’25₹181.84
₹160.36
-11.8%
12.3%₹181.00₹121.00n/a11
Jul ’25₹161.44
₹160.36
-0.7%
12.3%₹181.00₹121.00n/a11
Jun ’25₹147.05
₹159.36
+8.4%
12.3%₹181.00₹121.00n/a11
May ’25₹147.35
₹148.00
+0.4%
11.9%₹171.00₹115.00n/a10
Apr ’25₹125.50
₹145.00
+15.5%
15.4%₹171.00₹100.00n/a10
Mar ’25₹126.70
₹145.00
+14.4%
15.4%₹171.00₹100.00n/a10
Feb ’25₹140.10
₹145.00
+3.5%
15.4%₹171.00₹100.00n/a10
Jan ’25₹136.85
₹116.90
-14.6%
23.7%₹171.00₹85.00n/a10
Dec ’24₹100.50
₹99.45
-1.0%
7.4%₹110.00₹85.00₹173.9811
Nov ’24₹84.10
₹94.36
+12.2%
7.3%₹103.00₹80.00₹190.6911
Oct ’24₹89.95
₹94.08
+4.6%
8.3%₹105.00₹80.00₹200.9712
Sep ’24₹86.45
₹96.57
+11.7%
10.5%₹120.00₹80.00₹194.0414
Aug ’24₹77.30
₹96.57
+24.9%
10.1%₹120.00₹80.00₹181.8414
Jul ’24₹71.95
₹98.00
+36.2%
9.5%₹120.00₹80.00₹161.4413
Jun ’24₹69.15
₹96.64
+39.8%
10.4%₹120.00₹80.00₹147.0514
May ’24₹68.50
₹101.43
+48.1%
8.6%₹120.00₹88.00₹147.3514
Apr ’24₹66.65
₹100.38
+50.6%
8.2%₹120.00₹88.00₹125.5013
Mar ’24₹69.55
₹101.00
+45.2%
8.5%₹120.00₹88.00₹126.7015
Feb ’24₹72.05
₹101.43
+40.8%
8.6%₹120.00₹88.00₹140.1014
Jan ’24₹76.40
₹101.54
+32.9%
9.0%₹120.00₹88.00₹136.8513
Dec ’23₹74.90
₹102.92
+37.4%
9.3%₹120.00₹88.00₹100.5012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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