NTPC Valuation

Is 532555 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 532555 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
₹133.72
Fair Value
151.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
25
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 532555 (₹336.05) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹133.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 532555 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 532555?

Key metric: As 532555 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 532555. This is calculated by dividing 532555's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 532555's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.8x
Earnings₹220.73b
Market Cap₹3.16t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 532555's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 532555 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.4x
ADANIPOWER Adani Power
17.8xn/a₹2.1t
533148 JSW Energy
51.5x24.0%₹991.9b
513683 NLC India
17.5x17.9%₹319.3b
RPOWER Reliance Power
14.8xn/a₹169.0b
14.8x3.6%₹3.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 532555 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the peer average (25.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 532555's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Renewable Energy Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
533122 RattanIndia Power
0.7xn/aUS$745.69m
GVKPIL GVK Power & Infrastructure
1.3xn/aUS$82.35m
No more companies available in this PE range
532555 14.8xIndustry Avg. 30.3xNo. of Companies3PE020406080100+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 532555 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the Indian Renewable Energy industry average (30.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 532555's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

532555 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.8x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 532555 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 532555 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹336.05
₹441.24
+31.3%
12.9%₹500.00₹285.00n/a25
Jan ’26₹333.60
₹444.36
+33.2%
13.0%₹500.00₹280.00n/a25
Dec ’25₹363.85
₹445.80
+22.5%
12.9%₹500.00₹280.00n/a25
Nov ’25₹411.50
₹445.21
+8.2%
12.9%₹500.00₹280.00n/a24
Oct ’25₹440.00
₹428.36
-2.6%
14.4%₹500.00₹271.00n/a25
Sep ’25₹416.40
₹427.96
+2.8%
14.9%₹523.00₹271.00n/a25
Aug ’25₹423.35
₹425.62
+0.5%
15.6%₹523.00₹271.00n/a26
Jul ’25₹369.90
₹407.80
+10.2%
15.6%₹523.00₹258.00n/a25
Jun ’25₹358.90
₹406.44
+13.2%
15.9%₹523.00₹258.00n/a25
May ’25₹363.10
₹371.52
+2.3%
13.8%₹523.00₹258.00n/a23
Apr ’25₹342.25
₹363.33
+6.2%
16.3%₹523.00₹215.00n/a24
Mar ’25₹343.45
₹361.42
+5.2%
16.0%₹523.00₹215.00n/a24
Feb ’25₹321.75
₹337.26
+4.8%
14.5%₹415.00₹215.00n/a23
Jan ’25₹309.50
₹283.91
-8.3%
13.4%₹380.00₹198.00₹333.6023
Dec ’24₹269.05
₹272.95
+1.5%
9.8%₹306.00₹198.00₹363.8521
Nov ’24₹232.70
₹265.82
+14.2%
10.2%₹300.00₹198.00₹411.5022
Oct ’24₹245.65
₹250.59
+2.0%
12.0%₹300.00₹177.00₹440.0022
Sep ’24₹230.60
₹238.09
+3.2%
11.8%₹275.00₹177.00₹416.4023
Aug ’24₹225.15
₹231.04
+2.6%
11.5%₹272.00₹177.00₹423.3523
Jul ’24₹189.15
₹204.91
+8.3%
6.2%₹233.00₹174.00₹369.9022
Jun ’24₹174.30
₹204.45
+17.3%
6.3%₹233.00₹174.00₹358.9022
May ’24₹171.55
₹201.41
+17.4%
5.4%₹223.00₹176.00₹363.1022
Apr ’24₹175.25
₹201.33
+14.9%
4.4%₹223.00₹180.00₹342.2521
Mar ’24₹172.00
₹201.41
+17.1%
5.0%₹223.00₹180.00₹343.4522
Feb ’24₹170.00
₹201.41
+18.5%
5.0%₹223.00₹180.00₹321.7522
Jan ’24₹166.35
₹196.90
+18.4%
5.5%₹220.00₹175.00₹309.5020
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 25 Analysts
₹441.24
Fair Value
23.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
25
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 13:56
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NTPC Limited is covered by 63 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Satyadeep JainAmbit Capital
Nitin BhasinAmbit Capital
null nullAnand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited