There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About TCI Express' (NSE:TCIEXP) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Looking at TCI Express (NSE:TCIEXP), it does have a high ROCE right now, but lets see how returns are trending.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for TCI Express:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.33 = ₹1.8b ÷ (₹6.6b - ₹1.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Therefore, TCI Express has an ROCE of 33%. That's a fantastic return and not only that, it outpaces the average of 17% earned by companies in a similar industry.
View our latest analysis for TCI Express
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for TCI Express' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating TCI Express' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From TCI Express' ROCE Trend?
In terms of TCI Express' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. While it's comforting that the ROCE is high, five years ago it was 42%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, TCI Express has decreased its current liabilities to 17% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
What We Can Learn From TCI Express' ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for TCI Express. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 260% return over the last five years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing TCI Express that you might find interesting.
If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TCIEXP
TCI Express
Provides express delivery solutions in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.