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These 4 Measures Indicate That Tara Chand Logistic Solutions (NSE:TARACHAND) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Tara Chand Logistic Solutions Limited (NSE:TARACHAND) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Tara Chand Logistic Solutions
How Much Debt Does Tara Chand Logistic Solutions Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tara Chand Logistic Solutions had ₹937.8m of debt in March 2022, down from ₹1.05b, one year before. However, it also had ₹29.1m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹908.7m.
How Healthy Is Tara Chand Logistic Solutions' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tara Chand Logistic Solutions had liabilities of ₹559.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹898.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹29.1m as well as receivables valued at ₹623.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹806.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's ₹575.8m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While we wouldn't worry about Tara Chand Logistic Solutions's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.1, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.75 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even worse, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions saw its EBIT tank 48% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Tara Chand Logistic Solutions's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Tara Chand Logistic Solutions's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Tara Chand Logistic Solutions really is carrying too much debt. To us, that makes the stock rather risky, like walking through a dog park with your eyes closed. But some investors may feel differently. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Tara Chand Logistic Solutions is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those make us uncomfortable...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TARACHAND
Outstanding track record with adequate balance sheet.
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