Stock Analysis

Does Navkar (NSE:NAVKARCORP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:NAVKARCORP
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Navkar Corporation Limited (NSE:NAVKARCORP) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Navkar

How Much Debt Does Navkar Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Navkar had debt of ₹4.56b at the end of September 2022, a reduction from ₹7.05b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹103.9m, its net debt is less, at about ₹4.46b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:NAVKARCORP Debt to Equity History December 27th 2022

How Strong Is Navkar's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Navkar had liabilities of ₹4.51b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹545.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹103.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹420.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹4.53b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Navkar is worth ₹8.01b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Navkar's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.0 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.6 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. It is well worth noting that Navkar's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 31% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Navkar's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Navkar saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Neither Navkar's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Navkar commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Navkar is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Navkar is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Navkar might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:NAVKARCORP

Navkar

Provides container freight station, inland container depot, rail terminal, container train operator, and warehousing and other logistics solutions in India.

Excellent balance sheet minimal.

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