Stock Analysis

InterGlobe Aviation Shareholders Have Enjoyed A 29% Share Price Gain

Low-cost index funds make it easy to achieve average market returns. But in any diversified portfolio of stocks, you'll see some that fall short of the average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the InterGlobe Aviation Limited (NSE:INDIGO) share price is up 29% in the last three years, that falls short of the market return. Zooming in, the stock is actually down 16% in the last year.

Check out our latest analysis for InterGlobe Aviation

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

InterGlobe Aviation was able to grow its EPS at 12% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 8.8% average annual increase in the share price. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

NSEI:INDIGO Past and Future Earnings, March 2nd 2019
NSEI:INDIGO Past and Future Earnings, March 2nd 2019

We know that InterGlobe Aviation has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think InterGlobe Aviation will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, InterGlobe Aviation's TSR for the last 3 years was 36%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

The last twelve months weren't great for InterGlobe Aviation shares, which performed worse than the market, costing holders 15%, including dividends. The market shed around 6.5%, no doubt weighing on the stock price. Investors are up over three years, booking 11% per year, much better than the more recent returns. Sometimes when a good quality long term winner has a weak period, it's turns out to be an opportunity, but you really need to be sure that the quality is there. Before spending more time on InterGlobe Aviation it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this freelist of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

About NSEI:INDIGO

InterGlobe Aviation

Provides air transportation services under the IndiGo brand in India and internationally.

High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.

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