Stock Analysis
Here's Why InterGlobe Aviation (NSE:INDIGO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, InterGlobe Aviation Limited (NSE:INDIGO) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for InterGlobe Aviation
What Is InterGlobe Aviation's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 InterGlobe Aviation had ₹592.4b of debt, an increase on ₹493.9b, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₹360.4b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹232.0b.
How Strong Is InterGlobe Aviation's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that InterGlobe Aviation had liabilities of ₹352.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹581.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹360.4b as well as receivables valued at ₹7.15b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹566.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
InterGlobe Aviation has a very large market capitalization of ₹1.67t, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
InterGlobe Aviation's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.3 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 2.7 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. InterGlobe Aviation grew its EBIT by 5.7% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if InterGlobe Aviation can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, InterGlobe Aviation actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
On our analysis InterGlobe Aviation's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. In particular, interest cover gives us cold feet. Considering this range of data points, we think InterGlobe Aviation is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with InterGlobe Aviation , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:INDIGO
InterGlobe Aviation
Engages in the operation of IndiGo airline in India and internationally.