Stock Analysis

GTL Infrastructure Limited's (NSE:GTLINFRA) Shares Bounce 32% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

NSEI:GTLINFRA
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GTL Infrastructure Limited (NSE:GTLINFRA) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 32% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 12% is also fairly reasonable.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, GTL Infrastructure may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Telecom industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 2.5x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for GTL Infrastructure

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GTLINFRA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does GTL Infrastructure's Recent Performance Look Like?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, GTL Infrastructure's revenue has been unimpressive. Perhaps the market believes the recent lacklustre revenue performance is a sign of future underperformance relative to industry peers, hurting the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on GTL Infrastructure will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as GTL Infrastructure's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no revenue growth to show for over the last three years either. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has definitely eluded the company recently.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 5.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why GTL Infrastructure is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does GTL Infrastructure's P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite GTL Infrastructure's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of GTL Infrastructure confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for GTL Infrastructure that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.