Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Wonder Fibromats (NSE:WFL) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:WEL
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Wonder Fibromats Limited (NSE:WFL) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does Wonder Fibromats Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Wonder Fibromats had ₹167.6m of debt, an increase on ₹131.0m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹94.7m, its net debt is less, at about ₹72.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:WFL Debt to Equity History March 24th 2021

How Healthy Is Wonder Fibromats' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Wonder Fibromats had liabilities of ₹854.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹14.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹94.7m and ₹564.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹209.6m.

Wonder Fibromats has a market capitalization of ₹523.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Given net debt is only 1.2 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Wonder Fibromats's EBIT has low interest coverage of 1.6 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Wonder Fibromats's EBIT was down 64% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Wonder Fibromats will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Wonder Fibromats created free cash flow amounting to 20% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Wonder Fibromats's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Wonder Fibromats's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Wonder Fibromats you should be aware of, and 3 of them are potentially serious.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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