Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Wonder Electricals Limited (NSE:WEL) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking

NSEI:WEL
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Wonder Electricals Limited (NSE:WEL) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 452% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Wonder Electricals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in India, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Wonder Electricals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:WEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 14th 2024

What Does Wonder Electricals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Wonder Electricals as its revenue has been rising very briskly. The P/S is probably moderate because investors think this strong revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Wonder Electricals will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Wonder Electricals, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Wonder Electricals' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 42%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 87% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 35% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Wonder Electricals' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Wonder Electricals' P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Wonder Electricals revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Wonder Electricals (including 2 which are potentially serious).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wonder Electricals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.