Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Esconet Technologies Limited's (NSE:ESCONET) 31% Share Price Surge

NSEI:ESCONET
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Esconet Technologies Limited (NSE:ESCONET) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Esconet Technologies is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.2x, considering almost half the companies in India's Tech industry have P/S ratios below 2.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Esconet Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:ESCONET Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 13th 2024

How Has Esconet Technologies Performed Recently?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Esconet Technologies as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Esconet Technologies, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Esconet Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 46% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 219% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 19%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's understandable that Esconet Technologies' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From Esconet Technologies' P/S?

The large bounce in Esconet Technologies' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Esconet Technologies maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Esconet Technologies (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Esconet Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.