Stock Analysis

Is Creative Peripherals and Distribution (NSE:CREATIVE) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:CREATIVE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Creative Peripherals and Distribution Limited (NSE:CREATIVE) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Creative Peripherals and Distribution

How Much Debt Does Creative Peripherals and Distribution Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 Creative Peripherals and Distribution had debt of ₹429.3m, up from ₹318.8m in one year. However, it does have ₹62.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹366.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CREATIVE Debt to Equity History June 23rd 2021

How Healthy Is Creative Peripherals and Distribution's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Creative Peripherals and Distribution had liabilities of ₹1.26b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹42.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹62.8m and ₹559.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹678.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Creative Peripherals and Distribution has a market capitalization of ₹1.36b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Creative Peripherals and Distribution has net debt worth 2.0 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.1 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. If Creative Peripherals and Distribution can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 19% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Creative Peripherals and Distribution will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Creative Peripherals and Distribution burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Creative Peripherals and Distribution's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. In particular, its EBIT growth rate was re-invigorating. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Creative Peripherals and Distribution's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Creative Peripherals and Distribution you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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