Stock Analysis

Route Mobile Limited (NSE:ROUTE) Full-Year Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

NSEI:ROUTE
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Shareholders might have noticed that Route Mobile Limited (NSE:ROUTE) filed its yearly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 9.3% to ₹1,407 in the past week. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of ₹41b and statutory earnings per share of ₹59.07 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Route Mobile is executing in line with expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

View our latest analysis for Route Mobile

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NSEI:ROUTE Earnings and Revenue Growth May 10th 2024

After the latest results, the three analysts covering Route Mobile are now predicting revenues of ₹47.8b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a decent 18% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 12% to ₹67.00. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹48.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹67.83 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of ₹1,817, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Route Mobile at ₹1,930 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹1,700. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Route Mobile's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 18% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 35% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 14% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Route Mobile is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹1,817, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Route Mobile going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Route Mobile (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.