Stock Analysis

Results: KPIT Technologies Limited Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

NSEI:KPITTECH
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KPIT Technologies Limited (NSE:KPITTECH) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 4.5% to ₹1,774 in the week after its latest quarterly results. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of ₹14b were in line with what the analysts predicted, KPIT Technologies surprised by delivering a statutory profit of ₹7.47 per share, a notable 17% above expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for KPIT Technologies

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NSEI:KPITTECH Earnings and Revenue Growth July 26th 2024

After the latest results, the 15 analysts covering KPIT Technologies are now predicting revenues of ₹59.2b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a notable 14% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to grow 16% to ₹28.53. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹59.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹28.15 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

With the analysts reconfirming their revenue and earnings forecasts, it's surprising to see that the price target rose 5.7% to ₹1,836. It looks as though they previously had some doubts over whether the business would live up to their expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on KPIT Technologies, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹2,210 and the most bearish at ₹1,050 per share. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the KPIT Technologies' past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 20% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 24% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 15% annually. So although KPIT Technologies is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple KPIT Technologies analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with KPIT Technologies .

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.