Earnings Miss: Coforge Limited Missed EPS By 9.4% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
As you might know, Coforge Limited (NSE:COFORGE) last week released its latest yearly, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. Results look to have been somewhat negative - revenue fell 2.4% short of analyst estimates at ₹121b, and statutory earnings of ₹122 per share missed forecasts by 9.4%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.
After the latest results, the 28 analysts covering Coforge are now predicting revenues of ₹156.5b in 2026. If met, this would reflect a sizeable 30% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to surge 66% to ₹208. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹156.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹211 in 2026. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
View our latest analysis for Coforge
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of ₹8,629, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Coforge, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹11,260 and the most bearish at ₹5,720 per share. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Coforge's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 30% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 21% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.4% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Coforge to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹8,629, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Coforge. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Coforge going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Coforge you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:COFORGE
Coforge
Provides information technology (IT) and IT enabled services in India, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, India, and the Asia Pacific.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.
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