Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Limited (NSE:TBZ) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2022 Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri had ₹5.09b of debt, an increase on ₹3.75b, over one year. However, it does have ₹453.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹4.64b.
A Look At Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri had liabilities of ₹8.61b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹681.4m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹453.6m and ₹16.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹8.82b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹3.46b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Weak interest cover of 1.5 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1 hit our confidence in Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri's EBIT was down 45% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
On the face of it, Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 6 warning signs with Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TBZ
Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri
Designs, manufactures, retails, and sells jewelry primarily in India.
Average dividend payer with acceptable track record.