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- NSEI:SHOPERSTOP
These 4 Measures Indicate That Shoppers Stop (NSE:SHOPERSTOP) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shoppers Stop Limited (NSE:SHOPERSTOP) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Shoppers Stop
How Much Debt Does Shoppers Stop Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 Shoppers Stop had debt of ₹23.7b, up from ₹21.2b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹793.7m, its net debt is less, at about ₹23.0b.
How Healthy Is Shoppers Stop's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shoppers Stop had liabilities of ₹24.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹20.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹793.7m and ₹2.75b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹40.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Shoppers Stop has a market capitalization of ₹77.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Shoppers Stop shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.6 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Shoppers Stop actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 108%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shoppers Stop's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Shoppers Stop actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Both Shoppers Stop's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. But truth be told its net debt to EBITDA had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Shoppers Stop is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shoppers Stop (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SHOPERSTOP
Shoppers Stop
Engages in the retail of various household and consumer products through retail and departmental stores in India.
High growth potential and good value.