David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Vipul Limited (NSE:VIPULLTD) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Vipul
What Is Vipul's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Vipul had ₹3.83b of debt in September 2020, down from ₹4.87b, one year before. However, it also had ₹1.16b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹2.67b.
How Healthy Is Vipul's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vipul had liabilities of ₹13.0b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹3.13b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.16b as well as receivables valued at ₹3.76b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹11.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹2.00b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Vipul would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Vipul's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Vipul had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 73%, to ₹675m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While Vipul's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₹551m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely since it is low on liquid assets, and made a loss of ₹504m in the last year. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Vipul (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About NSEI:VIPULLTD
Excellent balance sheet slight.