Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Kolte-Patil Developers (NSE:KOLTEPATIL) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:KOLTEPATIL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Kolte-Patil Developers Limited (NSE:KOLTEPATIL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kolte-Patil Developers

What Is Kolte-Patil Developers's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kolte-Patil Developers had debt of ₹4.98b at the end of March 2021, a reduction from ₹7.31b over a year. However, it does have ₹1.82b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹3.16b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:KOLTEPATIL Debt to Equity History June 2nd 2021

A Look At Kolte-Patil Developers' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kolte-Patil Developers had liabilities of ₹25.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹4.96b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹1.82b in cash and ₹330.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹27.9b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹16.7b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Kolte-Patil Developers would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While we wouldn't worry about Kolte-Patil Developers's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.96 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Worse, Kolte-Patil Developers's EBIT was down 70% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Kolte-Patil Developers's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Kolte-Patil Developers actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

On the face of it, Kolte-Patil Developers's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Kolte-Patil Developers's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Kolte-Patil Developers you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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