Stock Analysis

Here's Why Techindia Nirman (NSE:TECHIN) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

NSEI:TECHIN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Techindia Nirman Limited (NSE:TECHIN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Techindia Nirman

What Is Techindia Nirman's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Techindia Nirman had debt of ₹763.0m, up from ₹666.1m in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

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NSEI:TECHIN Debt to Equity History January 11th 2024

How Strong Is Techindia Nirman's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Techindia Nirman had liabilities of ₹764.0m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹14.0k falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹2.15m and ₹62.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹699.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹320.1m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Techindia Nirman would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Techindia Nirman shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (13.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.94 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Techindia Nirman is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of ₹55m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Techindia Nirman's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Techindia Nirman burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Techindia Nirman's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. We think the chances that Techindia Nirman has too much debt a very significant. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Techindia Nirman you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Techindia Nirman is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.