Stock Analysis

Nila Spaces Limited (NSE:NILASPACES) Surges 60% Yet Its Low P/S Is No Reason For Excitement

NSEI:NILASPACES
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Nila Spaces Limited (NSE:NILASPACES) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 60% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 275% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, Nila Spaces' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in India, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 7.8x and even P/S above 18x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Nila Spaces

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:NILASPACES Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 12th 2024

How Has Nila Spaces Performed Recently?

Nila Spaces certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nila Spaces will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Nila Spaces' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. The amazing performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 126% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 43% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Nila Spaces is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From Nila Spaces' P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Nila Spaces' P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Nila Spaces confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Nila Spaces (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nila Spaces is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.