Stock Analysis

Is Hubtown (NSE:HUBTOWN) Using Debt Sensibly?

NSEI:HUBTOWN
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Hubtown Limited (NSE:HUBTOWN) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Hubtown

What Is Hubtown's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Hubtown had ₹9.41b of debt, an increase on ₹8.64b, over one year. However, it also had ₹1.32b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹8.08b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:HUBTOWN Debt to Equity History September 24th 2024

A Look At Hubtown's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hubtown had liabilities of ₹31.9b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹4.09b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.32b as well as receivables valued at ₹4.74b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹29.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹27.7b, we think shareholders really should watch Hubtown's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Hubtown's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Hubtown saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Hubtown had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost ₹319m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. It's fair to say the loss of ₹785m didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hubtown .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.