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Statutory Earnings May Not Be The Best Way To Understand Future Market Networks' (NSE:FMNL) True Position
Even though Future Market Networks Limited (NSE:FMNL) posted strong earnings recently, the stock hasn't reacted in a large way. We think that investors might be worried about the foundations the earnings are built on.
Zooming In On Future Market Networks' Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to March 2025, Future Market Networks recorded an accrual ratio of 0.45. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. In fact, it had free cash flow of ₹31m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of ₹660.4m. Notably, Future Market Networks had negative free cash flow last year, so the ₹31m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
View our latest analysis for Future Market Networks
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Future Market Networks.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Future Market Networks' profit was boosted by unusual items worth ₹571m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Future Market Networks' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to March 2025. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
Our Take On Future Market Networks' Profit Performance
Future Market Networks had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Future Market Networks'underlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. If you want to do dive deeper into Future Market Networks, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Future Market Networks (2 are a bit concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:FMNL
Future Market Networks
Engages in building and organizing of wholesale, trade, retail, and logistics infrastructure projects in India.
Acceptable track record low.
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