Stock Analysis

Is Emami Realty (NSE:EMAMIREAL) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:EMAMIREAL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Emami Realty Limited (NSE:EMAMIREAL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Emami Realty

What Is Emami Realty's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Emami Realty had ₹18.6b of debt, an increase on ₹15.7b, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:EMAMIREAL Debt to Equity History January 7th 2024

How Strong Is Emami Realty's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Emami Realty had liabilities of ₹13.7b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹8.38b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹357.2m and ₹5.31b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹16.4b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹4.70b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Emami Realty would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Emami Realty will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Emami Realty made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₹591m, which is a fall of 57%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Emami Realty's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹421m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost ₹617m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is quite risky. We'd prefer to pass. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Emami Realty (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Emami Realty is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.