Stock Analysis

Nectar Lifesciences (NSE:NECLIFE) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:NECLIFE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Nectar Lifesciences Limited (NSE:NECLIFE) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nectar Lifesciences

What Is Nectar Lifesciences's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2021 Nectar Lifesciences had ₹9.16b of debt, an increase on ₹7.79b, over one year. However, it does have ₹2.03b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹7.13b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:NECLIFE Debt to Equity History July 30th 2021

How Healthy Is Nectar Lifesciences' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nectar Lifesciences had liabilities of ₹11.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹2.22b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹2.03b in cash and ₹3.75b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹8.31b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹7.91b, we think shareholders really should watch Nectar Lifesciences's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Nectar Lifesciences shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (6.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.45 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Nectar Lifesciences's EBIT was down 69% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Nectar Lifesciences's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Nectar Lifesciences actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

On the face of it, Nectar Lifesciences's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Nectar Lifesciences to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Nectar Lifesciences you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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