Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Eris Lifesciences Limited (NSE:ERIS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Our analysis indicates that ERIS is potentially undervalued!
What Is Eris Lifesciences's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Eris Lifesciences had ₹2.23b of debt, up from ₹28.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹709.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹1.52b.
A Look At Eris Lifesciences' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Eris Lifesciences had liabilities of ₹3.60b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹4.52b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹709.6m in cash and ₹3.00b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹4.41b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Eris Lifesciences has a market capitalization of ₹92.0b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Eris Lifesciences's net debt is only 0.31 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 39.6 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. While Eris Lifesciences doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Eris Lifesciences's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Eris Lifesciences's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Happily, Eris Lifesciences's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Eris Lifesciences is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Eris Lifesciences .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ERIS
Eris Lifesciences
Provides domestic branded formulations for chronic and sub-chronic therapies in India.
Reasonable growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.