Hindustan Media Ventures' (NSE:HMVL) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Hindustan Media Ventures Limited (NSE:HMVL) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Hindustan Media Ventures issued 7.6% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Hindustan Media Ventures' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
A Look At The Impact Of Hindustan Media Ventures' Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Unfortunately, we don't have any visibility into its profits three years back, because we lack the data. On the bright side, in the last twelve months it grew profit by 682%. But EPS was less impressive, up only 682% in that time. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So Hindustan Media Ventures shareholders will want to see that EPS figure continue to increase. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hindustan Media Ventures.
Our Take On Hindustan Media Ventures' Profit Performance
Each Hindustan Media Ventures share now gets a meaningfully smaller slice of its overall profit, due to dilution of existing shareholders. Because of this, we think that it may be that Hindustan Media Ventures' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the happy news is that, while acknowledging we have to look beyond the statutory numbers, those numbers are still improving, with EPS growing at a very high rate over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Hindustan Media Ventures (1 is potentially serious!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hindustan Media Ventures' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hindustan Media Ventures might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:HMVL
Hindustan Media Ventures
Engages in the printing and publication of newspapers and periodicals in India.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.
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