Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Bodhi Tree Multimedia Limited's (NSE:BTML) Muted Earnings Despite A 73% Share Price Rise

NSEI:BTML
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Bodhi Tree Multimedia Limited (NSE:BTML) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 73% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 176% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Even after such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 23x, you may still consider Bodhi Tree Multimedia as an attractive investment with its 13.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

For example, consider that Bodhi Tree Multimedia's financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Bodhi Tree Multimedia

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NSEI:BTML Price Based on Past Earnings September 24th 2022
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Bodhi Tree Multimedia will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Bodhi Tree Multimedia's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 93% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we are not surprised that Bodhi Tree Multimedia is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Bodhi Tree Multimedia's P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Bodhi Tree Multimedia revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Bodhi Tree Multimedia (3 make us uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bodhi Tree Multimedia might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.