Here's What's Concerning About Affle (India)'s (NSE:AFFLE) Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Affle (India) (NSE:AFFLE) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Affle (India):
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.16 = ₹2.3b ÷ (₹19b - ₹3.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).
Thus, Affle (India) has an ROCE of 16%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.7% generated by the Media industry.
View our latest analysis for Affle (India)
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Affle (India) compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Affle (India) here for free.
So How Is Affle (India)'s ROCE Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Affle (India), we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 16% from 42% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, Affle (India) has decreased its current liabilities to 20% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
Our Take On Affle (India)'s ROCE
While returns have fallen for Affle (India) in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And the stock has done incredibly well with a 203% return over the last three years, so long term investors are no doubt ecstatic with that result. So while investors seem to be recognizing these promising trends, we would look further into this stock to make sure the other metrics justify the positive view.
If you're still interested in Affle (India) it's worth checking out our FREE intrinsic value approximation to see if it's trading at an attractive price in other respects.
While Affle (India) isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AFFLE
Affle (India)
Provides mobile advertisement services through information technology and software development services for mobiles in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.