Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are More Issues For West Coast Paper Mills (NSE:WSTCSTPAPR) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

Despite West Coast Paper Mills Limited's (NSE:WSTCSTPAPR) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. Sometimes, shareholders are willing to ignore soft numbers with the hope that they will improve, but our analysis suggests this is unlikely for West Coast Paper Mills.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:WSTCSTPAPR Earnings and Revenue History May 31st 2025

Zooming In On West Coast Paper Mills' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2025, West Coast Paper Mills recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹3.5b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹3.11b. We saw that FCF was ₹2.4b a year ago though, so West Coast Paper Mills has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of West Coast Paper Mills.

Our Take On West Coast Paper Mills' Profit Performance

West Coast Paper Mills didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that West Coast Paper Mills' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, West Coast Paper Mills has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of West Coast Paper Mills' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if West Coast Paper Mills might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:WSTCSTPAPR

West Coast Paper Mills

Manufactures, produces and sells pulp, paper, and paper boards in India and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.

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