Vikas WSP (NSE:VIKASWSP) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Vikas WSP Limited (NSE:VIKASWSP) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Vikas WSP
What Is Vikas WSP's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Vikas WSP had debt of ₹1.36b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₹1.55b over a year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Strong Is Vikas WSP's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Vikas WSP had liabilities of ₹5.43b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹17.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹18.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹6.92b due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹1.49b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus liquidity suggests that Vikas WSP's balance sheet could take a hit just as well as Homer Simpson's head can take a punch. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Vikas WSP's debt is 2.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.7 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Vikas WSP's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 70% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Vikas WSP will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Vikas WSP actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
Vikas WSP's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. But its level of total liabilities was significantly redeeming. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Vikas WSP's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Vikas WSP is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About NSEI:VIKASWSP
Vikas WSP
Manufactures and sells guar gum powder in India and internationally.
Slightly overvalued with worrying balance sheet.