Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With TPL Plastech Limited's (NSE:TPLPLASTEH) Prospects As Shares Rocket 32%

NSEI:TPLPLASTEH
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Despite an already strong run, TPL Plastech Limited (NSE:TPLPLASTEH) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 179% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider TPL Plastech as a stock to potentially avoid with its 40.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Earnings have risen firmly for TPL Plastech recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for TPL Plastech

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:TPLPLASTEH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for TPL Plastech, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as TPL Plastech's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 160% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why TPL Plastech is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

TPL Plastech's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of TPL Plastech revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its high P/E, given they look better than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for TPL Plastech (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of TPL Plastech's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TPL Plastech might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.