Stock Analysis

Shyam Metalics and Energy (NSE:SHYAMMETL) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

NSEI:SHYAMMETL
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Shyam Metalics and Energy Limited (NSE:SHYAMMETL) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

Check out our latest analysis for Shyam Metalics and Energy

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NSEI:SHYAMMETL Earnings and Revenue History November 16th 2021

A Closer Look At Shyam Metalics and Energy's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to September 2021, Shyam Metalics and Energy had an accrual ratio of 0.22. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₹5.9b during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of ₹14.8b. Notably, Shyam Metalics and Energy had negative free cash flow last year, so the ₹5.9b it produced this year was a welcome improvement.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Shyam Metalics and Energy's Profit Performance

Shyam Metalics and Energy's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Shyam Metalics and Energy's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Shyam Metalics and Energy, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shyam Metalics and Energy (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shyam Metalics and Energy's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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