Stock Analysis

Is Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers (NSE:SHREEPUSHK) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:SHREEPUSHK
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers Limited (NSE:SHREEPUSHK) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers

What Is Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2021, Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers had ₹971.1m of debt, up from ₹415.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹164.5m, its net debt is less, at about ₹806.6m.

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NSEI:SHREEPUSHK Debt to Equity History February 15th 2022

A Look At Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers had liabilities of ₹1.45b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹363.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹164.5m and ₹856.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹796.2m.

Given Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers has a market capitalization of ₹6.35b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So there's no doubt this company can take on debt while staying cool as a cucumber. Better yet, Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers grew its EBIT by 116% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers's free cash flow amounted to 23% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shree Pushkar Chemicals & Fertilisers you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.