Stock Analysis

We Think Ruchira Papers (NSE:RUCHIRA) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:RUCHIRA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ruchira Papers Limited (NSE:RUCHIRA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Ruchira Papers

What Is Ruchira Papers's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ruchira Papers had debt of ₹497.8m at the end of September 2022, a reduction from ₹626.5m over a year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:RUCHIRA Debt to Equity History December 26th 2022

How Strong Is Ruchira Papers' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ruchira Papers had liabilities of ₹1.00b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹400.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹7.24m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.17b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹227.7m.

Given Ruchira Papers has a market capitalization of ₹3.36b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Ruchira Papers has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.54. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 16.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Ruchira Papers grew its EBIT by 130% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Ruchira Papers's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Ruchira Papers reported free cash flow worth 20% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Ruchira Papers's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Ruchira Papers takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Ruchira Papers is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.