Stock Analysis

Ruchira Papers' (NSE:RUCHIRA) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NSEI:RUCHIRA
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Ruchira Papers Limited (NSE:RUCHIRA) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 29th of October to ₹2.00. This makes the dividend yield 1.3%, which is above the industry average.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Ruchira Papers' stock price has increased by 42% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

View our latest analysis for Ruchira Papers

Ruchira Papers' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. However, prior to this announcement, Ruchira Papers' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 1.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 13%, which is definitely feasible to continue.

historic-dividend
NSEI:RUCHIRA Historic Dividend September 2nd 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the annual payment back then was ₹1.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ₹2.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 7.2% over that duration. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Unfortunately, Ruchira Papers' earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year.

We should note that Ruchira Papers has issued stock equal to 12% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

Our Thoughts On Ruchira Papers' Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Ruchira Papers' payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We don't think Ruchira Papers is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 5 warning signs for Ruchira Papers you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.