N R Agarwal Industries Limited (NSE:NRAIL) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 29% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the N R Agarwal Industries Limited (NSE:NRAIL) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 49% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, N R Agarwal Industries' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 25x and even P/E's above 48x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
For example, consider that N R Agarwal Industries' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for N R Agarwal Industries
Is There Any Growth For N R Agarwal Industries?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, N R Agarwal Industries would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 69%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 22% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that N R Agarwal Industries is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On N R Agarwal Industries' P/E
Shares in N R Agarwal Industries have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of N R Agarwal Industries revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with N R Agarwal Industries (including 2 which are concerning).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on N R Agarwal Industries, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NRAIL
N R Agarwal Industries
Manufactures and sells finished paper products in India.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.