Investors Appear Satisfied With Neogen Chemicals Limited's (NSE:NEOGEN) Prospects As Shares Rocket 36%
The Neogen Chemicals Limited (NSE:NEOGEN) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 36%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 29%.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in India's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Neogen Chemicals as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Neogen Chemicals
What Does Neogen Chemicals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent revenue growth for Neogen Chemicals has been in line with the industry. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Neogen Chemicals will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Neogen Chemicals' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 105% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 51% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 13% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Neogen Chemicals' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Shares in Neogen Chemicals have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our look into Neogen Chemicals shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Neogen Chemicals (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Neogen Chemicals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NEOGEN
Neogen Chemicals
Engages in the manufacture and sale of specialty chemicals in India.
High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.