The board of Nelcast Limited (NSE:NELCAST) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ₹0.40 on the 3rd of September, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 0.4%.
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Nelcast's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Before making this announcement, Nelcast was easily earning enough to cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.
EPS is set to fall by 4.9% over the next 12 months if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could be 12%, which we consider to be quite comfortable, with most of the company's earnings left over to grow the business in the future.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from ₹0.50 total annually to ₹0.40. This works out to be a decline of approximately 2.2% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Nelcast May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Nelcast has seen earnings per share falling at 4.9% per year over the last five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.
Our Thoughts On Nelcast's Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Nelcast's payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 4 warning signs for Nelcast (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is Nelcast not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NELCAST
Nelcast
Manufactures and sells ductile and grey iron castings in India and internationally.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.