Stock Analysis

Malu Paper Mills (NSE:MALUPAPER) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

NSEI:MALUPAPER
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Malu Paper Mills Limited (NSE:MALUPAPER) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Malu Paper Mills

What Is Malu Paper Mills's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Malu Paper Mills had ₹940.5m in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MALUPAPER Debt to Equity History February 26th 2021

A Look At Malu Paper Mills' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Malu Paper Mills had liabilities of ₹1.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹79.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹15.0m and ₹282.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹830.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹481.1m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Malu Paper Mills would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Malu Paper Mills shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (18.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.0073 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Malu Paper Mills saw its EBIT tank 99% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Malu Paper Mills's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Malu Paper Mills actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

To be frank both Malu Paper Mills's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Malu Paper Mills has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Malu Paper Mills that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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